My opinion on the article below.
DEVALUATION OF ROUBLE WILL NOT HELP!
Present « smooth devaluation » rouble does not solve any problem but only drives economy of the Russian Federation in even greater crisis.
First of all (here again I am solidary from A.Martusevich) devaluation gives raw oligarches an opportunity and further to maintain old raw and low-flew the enterprises with the archaic equipment, destroying thus processing and hi-tech branches.
In fact devaluation has not made accessible credits for complex manufacture: they are still given under excessive to real sector 18-25 % annual. There is no system of the large banks, capable to give long term credits under small percent.
The government and the Central Bank pump up commercial banks money, expecting, that those will start to give credits to real sector. But it is unprofitable for banks to give them (it's possible to speculate simply with currency owing to « smooth devaluation » rouble). And if they gave credits - to what enterprise under force to take loans under 18-20 % annual? And below percent you will not lower - a high discount rate holds the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Here also it turns out, that money like is - and are inaccessible to real sector. The trap uniform was created. Sharp slump in production with strengthening poverty and unemployment are predetermined, and than it is more poverty - those will manage the further recession more strongly.
What does all this mean? A new wave of falling and closing of manufactures, non-payments - with new millions beggars and unemployeds. This is the factor of aggravation of crisis. All "benefits" from devaluation will appear absolutely eaten.
Putin's government has already generated circuits of non-payments, rejecting us in early 90's. Non-payments and barter, having captured economy, will lead unpredictable on scales to falling of incomes of the budget - and to increase in deficiency. So, to even greater acceleration of spending golden and cash reserves. For example, in Tomsk the area of the food-processing industry is at war with trading networks already: those detain payments for three months. The food producers try to beat out the money from shops, stopping deliveries of the foodstuffs. In turn, the food producers can't pay off with village and with foreign suppliers of the materials which are need to produce.
Simultaneously orders for manufacture of many products will leave the Russian Federation to the Peoples Republic of China, Finland, Germany, Malaysia, etc. That is, there, where the manufacturer can in time and is reliable execute the order, taking the credit in 2,5 % annual, instead of unreal 18 %. With such percent everything, that is made in the Russian Federation, will be much more expensive than imports.
Leaving of orders for the factories abroad will aggravate falling manufacture and social and economic crisis, the number of depressive regions and cities will increase in Russia.
But there is one more "trap": a problem of tariffs of natural monopolies: power, transport, housing and communal services. On the one hand, monopolies should live somehow and money to receive.It is necessary to update on something the worn out fixed capital. On the other hand, growth of tariffs will knock down manufacture in the country,and it will squeeze out of it last money. And further - all the same: the slump in production, new crowds of unemployeds, poverty, etc.Trap...
Here is possible words from Krylov's fable to speak. « Summer red » are high prices for oil in 2000-2008 and superincomes of the budget. Then also it was necessary to invest in real sector and an infrastructure, having created for this purpose the plan of perspective development of the Russian Federation. But it has not made. And here payment now has come. Payment for authority of silly and greedy vermins. One of the acute problems - tariffs of housing and communal services. Clever people (for example, the businessman Bulat Yanborisov from Naberezhnye Chelny) in 2003 offered to direct a part of superincomes of oil and gas on modernisation of communal services. On equipment by its supermodern technics, the pipes which are not requiring annual repair, economic generators, etc. So that for lower losses of heat and energy to reduce the charge of fuel and loss of water. So - and tariffs to keep at a divine level. Here our clever men have much more outstripped Obama's plan with its section: decrease of amount of energy using in buildings.
But in the Russian Federation nobody has listened to clever men. And here a real trouble: people cannot simply pay for rapidly growing tariffs. To take even Tomsk area. At the average family income in 10 thousand roubles per family the monthly maintenance of an apartment (tariffs of housing and communal services) reach 7-8 thousand rubles. And on the grant on housing and communal services-payments for needs in the budget of county is incorporated all 177 million roubles. A drop in the sea. Also that will order to do: to throw out people outside? Or to disconnect heating and an electricity for houses where defaulters are? And if they for the objective reasons cannot pay, because they've lost their jobs because of crisis?And, on the other hand, it is necessary to avoid somehow disorder of housing and communal services because of non-payments and deterioration. Even this problem alone can blow up the Russian Federation from inside.
Tuesday, 24 February 2009
Rouble
My opinion on the article below.
DEVALUATION OF ROUBLE WILL NOT HELP!
Present « smooth devaluation » rouble does not solve any problem but only drives economy of the Russian Federation in even greater crisis.
First of all (here again I am solidary from A.Martusevich) devaluation gives raw oligarches an opportunity and further to maintain old raw and low-flew the enterprises with the archaic equipment, destroying thus processing and hi-tech branches.
In fact devaluation has not made accessible credits for complex manufacture: they are still given under excessive to real sector 18-25 % annual. There is no system of the large banks, capable to give long term credits under small percent.
The government and the Central Bank pump up commercial banks money, expecting, that those will start to give credits to real sector. But it is unprofitable for banks to give them (it's possible to speculate simply with currency owing to « smooth devaluation » rouble). And if they gave credits - to what enterprise under force to take loans under 18-20 % annual? And below percent you will not lower - a high discount rate holds the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Here also it turns out, that money like is - and are inaccessible to real sector. The trap uniform was created. Sharp slump in production with strengthening poverty and unemployment are predetermined, and than it is more poverty - those will manage the further recession more strongly.
What does all this mean? A new wave of falling and closing of manufactures, non-payments - with new millions beggars and unemployeds. This is the factor of aggravation of crisis. All "benefits" from devaluation will appear absolutely eaten.
Putin's government has already generated circuits of non-payments, rejecting us in early 90's. Non-payments and barter, having captured economy, will lead unpredictable on scales to falling of incomes of the budget - and to increase in deficiency. So, to even greater acceleration of spending golden and cash reserves. For example, in Tomsk the area of the food-processing industry is at war with trading networks already: those detain payments for three months. The food producers try to beat out the money from shops, stopping deliveries of the foodstuffs. In turn, the food producers can't pay off with village and with foreign suppliers of the materials which are need to produce.
Simultaneously orders for manufacture of many products will leave the Russian Federation to the Peoples Republic of China, Finland, Germany, Malaysia, etc. That is, there, where the manufacturer can in time and is reliable execute the order, taking the credit in 2,5 % annual, instead of unreal 18 %. With such percent everything, that is made in the Russian Federation, will be much more expensive than imports.
Leaving of orders for the factories abroad will aggravate falling manufacture and social and economic crisis, the number of depressive regions and cities will increase in Russia.
But there is one more "trap": a problem of tariffs of natural monopolies: power, transport, housing and communal services. On the one hand, monopolies should live somehow and money to receive.It is necessary to update on something the worn out fixed capital. On the other hand, growth of tariffs will knock down manufacture in the country,and it will squeeze out of it last money. And further - all the same: the slump in production, new crowds of unemployeds, poverty, etc.Trap...
Here is possible words from Krylov's fable to speak. « Summer red » are high prices for oil in 2000-2008 and superincomes of the budget. Then also it was necessary to invest in real sector and an infrastructure, having created for this purpose the plan of perspective development of the Russian Federation. But it has not made. And here payment now has come. Payment for authority of silly and greedy vermins. One of the acute problems - tariffs of housing and communal services. Clever people (for example, the businessman Bulat Yanborisov from Naberezhnye Chelny) in 2003 offered to direct a part of superincomes of oil and gas on modernisation of communal services. On equipment by its supermodern technics, the pipes which are not requiring annual repair, economic generators, etc. So that for lower losses of heat and energy to reduce the charge of fuel and loss of water. So - and tariffs to keep at a divine level. Here our clever men have much more outstripped Obama's plan with its section: decrease of amount of energy using in buildings.
But in the Russian Federation nobody has listened to clever men. And here a real trouble: people cannot simply pay for rapidly growing tariffs. To take even Tomsk area. At the average family income in 10 thousand roubles per family the monthly maintenance of an apartment (tariffs of housing and communal services) reach 7-8 thousand rubles. And on the grant on housing and communal services-payments for needs in the budget of county is incorporated all 177 million roubles. A drop in the sea. Also that will order to do: to throw out people outside? Or to disconnect heating and an electricity for houses where defaulters are? And if they for the objective reasons cannot pay, because they've lost their jobs because of crisis?And, on the other hand, it is necessary to avoid somehow disorder of housing and communal services because of non-payments and deterioration. Even this problem alone can blow up the Russian Federation from inside.
DEVALUATION OF ROUBLE WILL NOT HELP!
Present « smooth devaluation » rouble does not solve any problem but only drives economy of the Russian Federation in even greater crisis.
First of all (here again I am solidary from A.Martusevich) devaluation gives raw oligarches an opportunity and further to maintain old raw and low-flew the enterprises with the archaic equipment, destroying thus processing and hi-tech branches.
In fact devaluation has not made accessible credits for complex manufacture: they are still given under excessive to real sector 18-25 % annual. There is no system of the large banks, capable to give long term credits under small percent.
The government and the Central Bank pump up commercial banks money, expecting, that those will start to give credits to real sector. But it is unprofitable for banks to give them (it's possible to speculate simply with currency owing to « smooth devaluation » rouble). And if they gave credits - to what enterprise under force to take loans under 18-20 % annual? And below percent you will not lower - a high discount rate holds the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Here also it turns out, that money like is - and are inaccessible to real sector. The trap uniform was created. Sharp slump in production with strengthening poverty and unemployment are predetermined, and than it is more poverty - those will manage the further recession more strongly.
What does all this mean? A new wave of falling and closing of manufactures, non-payments - with new millions beggars and unemployeds. This is the factor of aggravation of crisis. All "benefits" from devaluation will appear absolutely eaten.
Putin's government has already generated circuits of non-payments, rejecting us in early 90's. Non-payments and barter, having captured economy, will lead unpredictable on scales to falling of incomes of the budget - and to increase in deficiency. So, to even greater acceleration of spending golden and cash reserves. For example, in Tomsk the area of the food-processing industry is at war with trading networks already: those detain payments for three months. The food producers try to beat out the money from shops, stopping deliveries of the foodstuffs. In turn, the food producers can't pay off with village and with foreign suppliers of the materials which are need to produce.
Simultaneously orders for manufacture of many products will leave the Russian Federation to the Peoples Republic of China, Finland, Germany, Malaysia, etc. That is, there, where the manufacturer can in time and is reliable execute the order, taking the credit in 2,5 % annual, instead of unreal 18 %. With such percent everything, that is made in the Russian Federation, will be much more expensive than imports.
Leaving of orders for the factories abroad will aggravate falling manufacture and social and economic crisis, the number of depressive regions and cities will increase in Russia.
But there is one more "trap": a problem of tariffs of natural monopolies: power, transport, housing and communal services. On the one hand, monopolies should live somehow and money to receive.It is necessary to update on something the worn out fixed capital. On the other hand, growth of tariffs will knock down manufacture in the country,and it will squeeze out of it last money. And further - all the same: the slump in production, new crowds of unemployeds, poverty, etc.Trap...
Here is possible words from Krylov's fable to speak. « Summer red » are high prices for oil in 2000-2008 and superincomes of the budget. Then also it was necessary to invest in real sector and an infrastructure, having created for this purpose the plan of perspective development of the Russian Federation. But it has not made. And here payment now has come. Payment for authority of silly and greedy vermins. One of the acute problems - tariffs of housing and communal services. Clever people (for example, the businessman Bulat Yanborisov from Naberezhnye Chelny) in 2003 offered to direct a part of superincomes of oil and gas on modernisation of communal services. On equipment by its supermodern technics, the pipes which are not requiring annual repair, economic generators, etc. So that for lower losses of heat and energy to reduce the charge of fuel and loss of water. So - and tariffs to keep at a divine level. Here our clever men have much more outstripped Obama's plan with its section: decrease of amount of energy using in buildings.
But in the Russian Federation nobody has listened to clever men. And here a real trouble: people cannot simply pay for rapidly growing tariffs. To take even Tomsk area. At the average family income in 10 thousand roubles per family the monthly maintenance of an apartment (tariffs of housing and communal services) reach 7-8 thousand rubles. And on the grant on housing and communal services-payments for needs in the budget of county is incorporated all 177 million roubles. A drop in the sea. Also that will order to do: to throw out people outside? Or to disconnect heating and an electricity for houses where defaulters are? And if they for the objective reasons cannot pay, because they've lost their jobs because of crisis?And, on the other hand, it is necessary to avoid somehow disorder of housing and communal services because of non-payments and deterioration. Even this problem alone can blow up the Russian Federation from inside.
Monday, 2 February 2009
??????????
HelloAleikum mr.Chris!! Well I'm sitting on your blog more than one hour , and I have no idea what is my homework!! Everyone has wrote something about "bricks", so is it our homework??
Well once your blog is only for improving our English skills I will write something else (to improve my English ^^).
Later......
Well once your blog is only for improving our English skills I will write something else (to improve my English ^^).
Later......
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